China Targets Modest 4.5-5.0% GDP Growth for 2026, Emphasizes FX Stability

China Targets Modest 4.5-5.0% GDP Growth for 2026, Emphasizes FX Stability

TD Securities’ Senior Macro Strategist Alex Loo announced that Chinese policymakers aim for a moderate GDP growth target of 4.5-5.0% in 2026, with TD forecasting a 4.6% increase. The latest budget maintains an accommodative fiscal policy but steers clear of large impulses similar to those seen in 2025. This approach reflects a balanced stance towards fostering growth while ensuring foreign exchange stability. Analysts suggest that this strategy may provide a stable environment for investors as global economic uncertainties persist. Overall, the focus remains on pragmatic growth and maintaining market confidence in the Chinese economy.

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